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石油商预测2016年将是史上最差的一年

原始发布日期: 2015-11-19    发布者:中和

           

加拿大石油钻井商协会(Canadian Association of Oilwell Drilling Contractors )今天发布的一份预测报告说,明年将是自1983年以来钻井活动最糟糕的一年。

CAODC预测,明年的钻井数预测为4,728,比2014年的11,226减少58%。 

报告还预测,钻井活动的降低明年会直接和间接地导致21,465个岗位的丢失,今年导致的下岗数估计为25,785。 

CAODC's Mark Scholz describes the historically grim year expected in 2016 for oilwell drillers. 1:30

Oilwell drilling contractors expect one of worst years in history

Canadian Association of Oilwell Drilling Contractors (CAODC) releases grim forecast for 2016



The Canadian Association of Oilwell Drilling Contractors has released a bleak forecast for the upcoming year that projects the downturn will only get worse for the sector.

CAODC projects 4,728 wells to be drilled, a decrease of 58 per cent from the 11,226 wells drilled in 2014.

"The 2016 forecast is grim or as we call it in our office, butt ugly," said Brian Krausert with Beaver Drilling, who delivered the CAODC forecast to the organization's members at an event in downtown Calgary. "It's not a pretty sight, but I know the industry is resilient enough and hopefully we'll be here next year." 
'People are losing their livelihoods, people are going to get desperate' - Greg Ward, Remote Waste
As rigs sit idle, workers are struggling to find work. The drilling industry expects to lose 28,485 jobs since 2014, a decrease of 57 per cent. In total, the Canadian oil industry has lost around 36,000 jobs since the oil price collapse.

"The oil and gas services industry is facing one of the most difficult economic times in a generation," said CAODC president Mark Scholz.

The rig count in western Canada is expected to plunge to the same level seen in 1983, one of the worst periods in the industry's history. 

The CAODC forecasts the rig count in western Canada will plunge in 2016. (CBC)

The organization is lobbying the provincial and federal governments to keep taxes and other costs low for the industry.

"There is incredible uncertainty for investors to come and put money into Alberta. We've seen corporate tax hikes, it's unclear what type of royalty increases we'll see, environmental taxes we'll have a better understanding about in the next couple months here," said Scholz.

The industry has struggled ever since oil prices collapsed in the summer of 2014 as North American prices dropped from more than $100 US a barrel to about $41 US a barrel today.

"It's pretty depressing," said Greg Ward with Remote Waste, a company that treats waste water for well sites and work camps. "People are losing their homes, people are losing their livelihoods, people are going to get desperate."
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